08 June 2011

Sino-Forest tumbles as Moody's sets review

Shares of Sino-Forest(Toronto:TRE.TO) went into another tailspin on Tuesday as the Chinese timber plantation operator struggled to fight a short-seller's allegations that its finances are a fraud.

The latest hit came after Moody's Investors Service said it may lower its rating on the company's debt, saying its business model may be hurt even if it demonstrates the allegations from short-seller Muddy Waters are untrue.

Shares in Hong Kong-headquartered, Toronto-listed Sino-Forest closed down 34 percent at C$4.01, having dropped at midday to C$3.67. Its shares are off almost 80 percent since the Muddy Waters report was published last Thursday.

Sino-Forest, which owns timber plantations across China and counts some major North American funds as its investors, has strongly denied allegations by Muddy Waters of problems with its audited accounts and business model.

The Muddy Waters report accused Sino-Forest of overstating its timber investments in China's Yunnan province by $900 million, using fraudulent data to support its plantation ownership claims, and running its revenue through intermediaries to hide the true amount from auditors.

Sino-Forest said it is weighing defamation action against Muddy Waters, a Hong Kong-based short-seller and research firm that has launched similar attacks against a handful of Chinese companies listed in North America.

As a short-seller Muddy Waters profits as the shares fall.

"While Sino-Forest has refuted the bulk of the allegations and has set up an independent committee to investigate them, Moody's is concerned that its financial position and business plan will be negatively affected in the interim, and even if they prove to be unfounded," Moody's analyst Ken Chan said in a statement.

Prices of the Chinese forestry company's bonds have also been hit by the report.

Sino-Forest's annual information form indicates it had about $2 billion in outstanding short- and long-term debt as of Dec. 31, 2010. It said on Monday it had about $1.09 billion in cash and cash equivalents as of March 31, 2011.

GREENHEART SHARES PLUNGE

In a separate regulatory filing, Sino-Forest's Hong Kong-listed subsidiary, Greenheart Group (HKSE:0094.HK), said its operations were not in any way affected by the allegations being made against Sino-Forest.

Still, shares in Greenheart, which resumed trade on Wednesday after being halted on June 3, plunged more than 80 percent to all time low.

Sino-Forest controls more than 63 percent of Greenheart, which operates tree plantations in Suriname and New Zealand, according to regulatory filings.

PWC RETAINED

Sino-Forest launched a counter-attack on Monday, saying it would release documents to prove its ownership claims, and it announced PricewaterhouseCoopers has been hired to help a committee of independent directors probe the allegations.

"PwC is highly familiar with the forestry industry and the business environment in China," Sino-Forest said, adding that the accounting firm will start work immediately.

Ernst & Young remains in its role as the company's auditor, according to a spokeswoman, who declined to comment further on Sino-Forest's review of the allegations.

The company is still getting support from analysts who had recommended its shares before the Muddy Waters broadside.

Dundee Securities analyst Richard Kelertas said on a call with investors that he believes that Sino-Forest can clear itself of all the allegations.

"We have found out through sources that Muddy Waters pre-marketed this smoking-gun report on Sino-Forest to hedge funds over the last five weeks," said Kelertas, who did not identify his sources.

Kelertas could not be reached for further comment on Tuesday.

Muddy Waters was not immediately available to comment.

Raymond James analyst Daryl Swetlishoff said the Sino-Forest move to appoint PwC is a good choice.

"We continue to have our target and rating under review, pending the release of the finding of the committee of independent directors, and we expect Sino and Muddy Waters to continue to compete for investor support," he wrote in a note to clients.

RBC Capital Markets said the allegations raised the risk surrounding Sino-Forest, but analyst Paul Quinn largely panned a conference call Muddy Waters founder Carson Block held late on Monday.

"No new evidence was brought forward, although Mr. Block claimed to have 'a lot of other material' that he intends to distribute in time," Quinn wrote in a report. "We suspect that we haven't heard the last from Muddy."

Quinn said Sino-Forest must do a better job of answering Muddy Waters' allegations related to its use of "authorized intermediaries" when buying and selling trees for plywood and pulp production.

Rupee down

The rupee was down in early morning trades on Wednesday tracking negative local shares and weak Asian currencies, while oil importers' dollar demand is also likely to weigh.

At 9:17 a.m., the partially convertible rupee was at 44.7450/7475 per dollar, weaker than Tuesday's close of 44.67/68.

  • * Traders expect the rupee to trade in a range of 44.60-44.80 intraday.
  •  India's main stock index was down 0.4 percent in early trades amid weak Asian markets.
  •  Most Asian currencies were weak against the dollar.
  •  The index of the dollar against six major currencies was up 0.18 percent at 73.655 points against 73.651  when the domestic market closed on Tuesday.
  •  The euro was trading at $1.4658, compared with $1.4660 at the end of local trade on Tuesday

Maruti''s Manesar plant closed for 5th day...

New Delhi, June 8 (PTI) The country''s largest car-maker Maruti Suzuki India today said production at its Manesar facility continues to be completely stopped as the workers'' strike at the plant entered its fifth day.

"Strike is continuing... The production is fully stopped."

Around 2,000 workers at the plant have been on strike since Saturday, resulting in a production loss of about 3,000 units till yesterday and the value of the loss is estimated to be around Rs 150 crore. The company had yesterday said its sales will be affected if the strike at the Manesar plant prolongs.

The Manesar plant rolls out about 1,200 units every day in two shifts. The factory produces hatchbacks Swift and A-Star and sedans DZiRE and SX4. The company''s shares were trading at Rs 1,229.95 apiece in the morning on the Bombay Stock Exchange, down 0.87 per cent.

Nifty weak

Equity benchmarks started the trade on a negative note following weak global cues. Indices continued to see volatility for third consecutive session. The Nifty has been in a range of 5500-5600 since last week

M&M, Maruti Suzuki, Axis Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI, PNB, Reliance Industries, ONGC, Ranbaxy Labs, TCS, Jaiprakash Associates, HUL and Infosys were dragging the markets down in early trade.

However, the buying in Reliance Communications, Ambuja Cements, Reliance Power and ITC has trimmed the losses to some extent. At 9:21 hours IST, the 30-share BSE Sensex was trading at 18,437, down 59 points and the 50-share NSE Nifty fell 21 points to 5,535.

07 June 2011

Commodity Market

Beginning in the fall after the lead has been shopping. While in spot demand decreases turmeric futures declined by nearly 1.5 per cent. Bumper crop of wheat has come down from the minimum support price quotes. Also today, business is on the decline in soybean.

Today, Base Metals pack huge ups - and downs about 1 percent lead among businesses is up. At first view, lead to rise in London Metal Exchange also has accelerated the impact of the domestic market. Up nearly 1 percent on LME lead is around 2525 dollars per ton. In fact, demand in China is expected to grow. Last month, China's performance in most battery plants is at a standstill. It is believed to be started again as soon as these lead battery plants will increase demand. So despite the surge in LME stocks of lead to have gone up.

While nearly half per cent decline in cumin. The inward moving markets cumin prices are constantly falling down. Currently about 10,000 daily incoming getting the sack cumin. During the past month and nearly 10 percent decline in the price of cumin has. In the spot market has come down from Rs 13,000 cumin. Cumin this year yields declined even though its expressions are falling.

Experts advise investors to

Pepper (June Futures): Buy - 29 560, Steugpalugss - 29 090 and the target - 30 490

Mustard (June Futures): Buy - 2900, Steugpalugss - 2845 and target - 3245

Gold (August Futures): Buy - 22 730, Steugpalugss - 22 700 and the target - 22 875
Crude Oil (July Futures): Sell - 4425, Steugpalugss - 4437 and target - 4350
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