08 August 2011

Several nations, incl India, may face rating downgrade


Ratings agency Standard & Poor's today cautioned that it could lower the sovereign ratings of countries like India, Japan and Malaysia, which are still to come out of the economic meltdown of 2008.
"The implications for sovereign creditworthiness in the Asia-Pacific would likely be more negative than previously experienced and a larger number of negative rating actions would follow," S&P said in its report on Asia-Pacific Sovereigns.
"Fiscal capacities of Japan, India, Malaysia, Taiwan and New Zealand have shrunk relative to pre-2008 level," it said, adding that these countries continue to bear the scars of the downturn.
The governments, it said, would be required to use their own revenue streams to support their economies and financial sector once again.
It further said that if a renewed slowdown comes, it would create a deeper and more prolonged impact.
At the time of the global financial crisis in 2008, several countries, including India, had rolled out stimulus packages facilitating monetary expansion and lower taxes to mitigate the impact of the slowdown.
At that time, India had provided three fiscal stimulus packages totalling Rs 1.86 lakh crore, which helped the economy clock a growth of 8% in 2009-10, as against 6.8% in 2008-09. Prior to the crisis, the Indian economy had been expanding at a growth rate of over 9% over a three-year period.
Late on Friday, global ratings agency S&P downgraded its US sovereign rating to AA+ from AAA, with a negative outlook.

5200 eludes Nifty as Europe loses control


Constant sell-off in technology, telecom, metal and realty companies' shares kept throwing a spanner inNifty's efforts to get back above the 5200-mark. Even the European markets could not sustain their initial gains - France's CAC, Germany's DAX and Britain's FTSE were down 0.5-1%. Dow Jones futures slipped 184 points.
The 30-share BSE Sensex lost 217 points during the day and was trading at 17,088 in late afternoon trade. The 50-share NSE Nifty was down 56 points at 5,155.
Most experts CNBC spoke to remained hopeful of a recovery in Indian markets, even though panic and nervousness has gripped investors globally after the S&P downgraded US.

Nifty reclaims 5100 as Europe opening draws closer


There is some amount of hope sorrounding European opening as Sensex recovered over 100 points from the day's low. At 11:45 hours IST, the 30-share BSESensex recovered mildly to trade 384 points lower at 16,920. Nifty retraced back to the psychological 5100 level.
Sanjay Dutt of Quantum Securities doesn't see buying coming into the market anytime soon due to technical reasons. However, from a valuation standpoint he sees India as one of the most competing markets in the world.
Technology stocks like TCS and Infosys were down 5.5%. Wipro tanked nearly 5% and HCL Tech plunged close to 8%. Dutt continues to remain bearish on the IT sector. He suggests investors to stay away from the IT stocks for sometime.
About 13 shares were falling for every one share rising on the National Stock Exchange, which looked better than advance:decline ratio of 1:20 in initial trade.
Crude oil prices slipped further. Brent crude was trading at USD 105.79 a barrel, down USD 3.58.

Market may stabilise soon.......

By Moneycontrol


Experts are not so worried on Indian market, even though globally panic and nervousness has gripped investors’ sentiments. Most experts feel that Indian market are still looking attractive and hence will sail through the turbulence.
Ramesh Damani, Member, Bombay Stock Exchange is also not expecting major panic in market. In an interview to CNBC-TV18, he said that though there is likely to be a knew jerk reaction, the market may stabilise soon.
“I do not see 2008 kind of crisis. The Nifty is likely to hold 5000,” he added.

Sensex suffers over 450-point cut


At 10:56 hours IST, the Indian market was possibly witnessing one of the toughest fights in recent times. The Sensex continued to trade sharply lower though there was a bit of buying at lower levels. The Niftyhasn't had a chance since morning to climb above the 5100-mark. The impact of the S&P downgrade of the US has spilled over to India, although there was a theory that India may see a bounce-back on Monday
The 30-share BSE Sensex was trading at 16,854, down 451 points and the 50-share NSE Nifty went down 131 points to 5,080 led by fall in 45 shares.
In the largecap space, DLF, Tata Motors, Wipro, TCS, Sterlite Industries and HCL Tech were top gainers, slipping 5-8%. However, ACC, Ambuja Cements, BPCL, GAIL and ONGC were only gainers on the Nifty.
On the global front, Asian markets like Shanghai, Hang Seng, Straits Times, Taiwan and Kospi fell 4-5%. Japan's Nikkei declined over 2%.
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