05 April 2011

profit booking stepped

Finally the profit booking stepped in today - the benchmark Nifty was trading well below the 5900 level on the back of sell-off in almost 40 stocks out of 50, including the major sectors like oil & gas, financials, technology, metals, realty, power and FMCG. L&T, Bharti and M&M too were down at 12 hours.

Profit booking was on the expected lines after the sharp rally in previous two weeks supported by inflow of funds from foreign investors.

Head of equities at Ambit Capital, Saurabh Mukherjea expects negative surprises on the political and earnings front globally. "Domestically too, there is some negative news expected and thus he sees the Sensex hovering at levels below 16,000 by the end of the state election season."

The 30-share BSE Sensex was trading at 19,579, down 122 points and the 50-share NSE Nifty fell 36 points to 5,872. The broader indices too erased their early trade gains.

Heavyweights like ONGC, Reliance Industries, Infosys, ICICI Bank, NTPC, Wipro, HDFC and HDFC Bank were the leading draggers

Oil climbs to highest since 2008

Oil prices rose to their highest since September 2008 on Monday, with Brent surging above USD 121 a barrel as Nigerian election delays and a short-lived strike in Gabon joined a list of geopolitical supply concerns.

Prices rose for a third session on persistently weak volume, with Brent leading gains after news of delays to loading benchmark Forties crude. Libya's ongoing civil war and the latest signs of unrest in Yemen also affected the European market more intensely, traders said.

The latest gains snapped prices out of a month-long trading range, once again shifting the focus to OPEC. The oil minister of Iran, which holds the group's rotating presidency in 2011, said Friday there was no need for a meeting.

Brent crude for May rose USD 2.36 to settle at USD 121.06 after reaching $121.29, the highest intraday price since August 2008.

Several cargoes of Forties crude -- which typically sets the level of dated Brent benchmark -- loading in April are delayed due to a brief drop in North Sea Buzzard oilfield production last week, trading sources said.

U.S. crude rose 53 cents to settle at 108.47 after reaching USD 108.78 intraday, the highest intraday price since September 2008.


"U.S. crude is hesitant because there is still worry that the Federal Reserve might be nearing a rate hike or tighter policy, which would lower liquidity and demand and strengthen the dollar."

The US Federal Reserve is set to end the second round of its bond buying program in June, and some Fed officials have argued for a move away from the loose monetary policy.

Investors awaited Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's speech ahead of a Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta conference, scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT (2315 GMT) Monday.

The European Central Bank has its policy meeting on Thursday and is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points from a record low in reaction to rising inflationary pressures in the euro zone.

Staying above USD 100

U.S. oil prices have risen 4% in three days, aided by a government report last Friday that US employment registered solid growth for a second month in March and the jobless rate hit a two-year low of 8.8%.

Many analysts now say oil prices are likely to continue to trade above USD 100 a barrel, supported by rising production costs and higher budgetary requirements in Saudi Arabia, making the world's top exporter less inclined to raise production to cool prices.

But it's unclear where prices might peak, given OPEC's reluctance to formally act to raise production targets despite exports being lost to Libya's civil war and concerns that high oil prices are stoking inflation.

US crude trading volumes remained thin after the previous two weeks saw the lowest weekly volumes for 2011.

Brent trading volumes on the Intercontinental Exchange were below the 30-day average and less than 10,000 lots below US crude volumes on the New York Mercantile Exchange, with less than two hours of post-settlement trading left on Monday.

Nigeria, Gabon add to supply concerns

Oil investors also eyed OPEC member Nigeria, where parliamentary and presidential elections were postponed for one week after failing to arrange logistics in time. Nigeria, a key sweet crude producer, has a history of contentious elections and problems with militants.

Also in Africa, the oil workers union called off a strike in Gabon that had halted production of around 240,000 barrels per day of mainly low sulfur crude oil. The union said it reached a deal with the government.

News that the strike in Gabon was called off came after crude prices had settled.

Forces loyal to Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi are staging a "massacre" in the besieged city of Misrata, evacuees said Monday, as Turkey sought to broker a ceasefire to halt the bloodshed.

The uncertainty about Libya's shut in production and the protests and unrest in the Middle East have kept a risk premium in the market. While most analysts do not expect Libyan crude oil output to resume in meaningful volumes any time this year, any sign of an end to hostilities could allow some of the associated price premium to quickly evaporate.

Italy became another European country to recognize Libya's rebels, promising weapons as well as experts in rebuilding. Rome also said the overtures from envoys sent by Gaddafi to some European capitals were "not credible."

04 April 2011

Earthquake hits India-Nepal border

New Delhi: An earthquake measuring 6 on the Richter scale and with an epicenter in Nepal shook parts of north India, including capital Delhi and its suburbs on Monday evening.

Early reports from Noida and parts of Delhi said the quake was rather strong and furniture shook in buildings.

India's earthquake monitoring network said the quake took place at 5.01 pm and the depth of the quake was 10 km.

Nifty volatile

The benchmark Nifty was trading with moderate gains amid volatility at 10:14 hours, supported by technology, financial, select auto, metal and healthcare companies' shares. L&T and ITC too were aiding the small rally.

As gains continue to pour in, an optimistic N Jayakumar of Prime Securities says money flows will continue despite local and global events. He sees the market hitting new high going forward. "Nifty could breach 6,000 on the upside if crude cools," he says. London Brent crude was trading below the USD 119 a barrel.

The big theme, according to him, will be the mid-cap space. "That space is witnessing a recovery.

However, the sell-off in Reliance Industries, HUL, HDFC, BHEL and NTPC has limited the upside.

Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group companies' shares like Reliance Capital, Reliance Infrastructure and Reliance Power were down 0.5-1%. Reliance Communications tanked 3%.

The 30-share BSE Sensex 19,464, up 44 points and the 50-share NSE Nifty rose 11 points to 5,837. The Nifty April futures were trading at 22 points premium.

Technology stocks like TCS, Infosys and Wipro gained 1-1.5%. SBI, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank from financial space moved up 0.5-1%.

01 April 2011

Bulls keep Nifty above 5800

Indian equity benchmarks were quiet in opening trade on the first day of financial year 2011-12, but they still maintained a positive trend. The Nifty was still holding the 5800 level amid that volatility. There was no major impact seen due to rise in Brent crude to USD 117 a barrel.

Infrastructure, FMCG and Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group were leading the markets higher.

Among frontliners, Reliance Communications, Reliance Power, Reliance Infrastructure, Reliance Capital, Hero Honda, Bajaj Auto, L&T, Reliance Industries, HDFC, HDFC Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank,

However, BPCL, Bharti Airtel, Tata Motors, SBI and PNB were witnessing selling pressure.

At 9:18 hours IST, the 50-share NSE Nifty was trading at 5,843, up 10 points and the 30-share BSE Sensex gained 59 points at 19,504.

About 578 shares advanced as against 313 shares declined on National Stock Exchange.
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